Here are the results from the Tucson Weekly web site:
Democrats:
Gabrielle Giffords: 45 percent
Patty Weiss: 27 percent
Jeff Latas: 6 percent
Alex Rodriguez: 1 percent
Bill Johnson: 1 percent
Francine Schacter: 1 percent
Undecided: 20 percent
OK, so the numbers add up to more than 100 percent. We rounded Francine Shacter’s .3 percent upward.
Republicans
Randy Graf: 36 percent
Steve Huffman: 13 percent
Mike Hellon: 10 percent
Mike Jenkins: 1 percent
Frank Antenori: 1 percent
Undecided: 39 percent
The poll, conducted by Margaret Kenski of Arizona Opinion, surveyed 300 Democrats and 300 Republicans in CD 8. It has a margin of error of plus/minus 4 percent.
6 comments:
This is good news for Graf and fabulous news for Giffords, saying that Huffman/Hellon are failing to gain on Graf's initial momentum, and that Giffords has not only caught Patty's name recognition, but has sailed past it.
This data probably precedes any gains Jeff may realize with the DVD, and I do believe his numbers will increase.
Interesting that the Republican undecided is so much larger.
No need to remind folks, I know, but the poll that counts occurs on 9/12.
x4mr...
You have a good point about the delayed result of the Latas DVD. I'm surprised by the Latas numbers...and yes, the Fat Lady hasn't sung yet.
The new poll didn't take a proper share of the voters from the outlying counties. Also the poll was only conducted on voters who have voted in the previous two general elections.
DB
fedup, The 8% is the percentage of ALL voters. They are the ones who say that they will vote for Weiss because they know her. This does not mean that others do not know her, it just means this is not the most important reason they support her. It means that a third of those who support Weiss do so because they know her. Left unasked is how many support other candidates because they know Weiss.
I think this poll sounds accurate. It is certainly right in line with my own experience and my predictions about how this would turn out. Name recognition just gets you the attention of the voters. Then you have to actually win their votes with something beyond just claiming over and over to be ahead in the campaign.
Just couldn't stay away, could you, Roger?
I wonder what the detox program is for blogoholics. Then again, who says we ever have to quit!
You needn't concern yourself with Giffords camp becoming complacent or relaxing in any way until 11/8, and perhaps then only for a few days. The job just changes.
Anyone besides me smell hit pieces on the horizon? Real ones--not some nonsense about turning a picture upside down.
Stuff like they allude to over at kos.
Oh, Art, fabulous post on Conservatives, and have some thoughts to share there later.
Yep, you are right fedup. Guess I read it wrong. It does seem that they did not suggest any answers here, it was an open question.
So I would think many people who know her may have come up with other answers. Like "I trust her" or "her intelligence."
But I think it may also be that few people know her personally despite her long time in the city. She really has not been involved in that many groups or activities around here. And what she has done is at the board level, and boards meet infrequently and consist of not that many people.
Sure, people would meet her doing her reporting stuff. But that would be a one time encounter for an hour, tops. Not enough to say you know someone.
I also have to say that I have worked with some Giffords supporters who were there because they know Weiss.
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